Chart of the day

NVDA is breaking below the rising wedge

Where do we stand fundamentally?

NVIDIA (NVDA) released its Q3 FY25 earnings report on November 20, 2024, showcasing impressive results:

  • Revenue: A record $35.1 billion, reflecting a 17% increase from the previous quarter and a 94% year-over-year growth.

  • Data Center Revenue: $30.8 billion, marking a 112% year-over-year growth and a 17% sequential rise.

  • These numbers emphasize NVIDIA's dominance in AI-related hardware and data center technologies, contributing significantly to its revenue growth.

This is the third report that has led to a downside reaction of the NVDA stock.

NVDA is testing a rising wedge 141 downside resistance in the third long-term upside wave and we could see a pullback in the fourth wave from here. We need to see a breakout above this level for an extended third wave. I expect a deeper pullback here in the fourth wave of the five long-term waves for a retest of the 116 and possibly lower.

We are in the development of the fourth wave short-term before a rally higher in the fifth long-term wave. Before an extension higher we could see a pullback from here in the short term if we get a break below 140. Invalidation of a swing lower will happen upon a confirmed break above 150.

NVDA 15 days chart

Try a short trade entry with a stop loss above 145 to target 120 and lower or trade it with options like in the example below. This options trade was published yesterday in my options trading discord.

NVDA trade setup